Model·Updated 17h ago

The Moneyball Lab

MLB Daily · Expert Model Picks
Sunday—June 7, 2026
Actionable
4
of 15 games
Top Edge
12.0%
model vs market
Bets by Strength
Top PicksWin %175.4%Tiers061.7%154.4%254.7%
Theoretical Stake
$130
from $1000 bankroll
Money
Market
Model
MILBrewers
S. Drohan (L)2.87 ERA
● PICK
-176
62.1%
73.6%
edge
+11.5%
COLRockies
K. Freeland (L)7.00 ERA
+160
37.9%
26.4%
7:10 PM·—90° · 12.2mph
MIL ML -176·Stake $68
Money
Market
Model
PITPirates
B. Chandler (R)5.05 ERA
+134
41.6%
38.3%
ATLBraves
B. Elder (R)2.63 ERA
● PICK
-148
58.4%
61.7%
edge
+3.3%
5:35 PM·—81° · 6.1mph
ATL ML -148·Stake $63
Money
Market
Model
OAKAthletics
G. Jump (L)3.75 ERA
● PICK
-102
49.6%
61.2%
edge
+11.6%
HOUAstros
M. Burrows (R)5.66 ERA
-108
50.4%
38.8%
6:10 PM·—72° · 0mph
No Play
Money
Market
Model
NYMMets
H. Brazobán (R)2.25 ERA
● PICK
-106
50.1%
57.1%
edge
+7.0%
SDPadres
R. Vásquez (R)3.31 ERA
-104
49.9%
42.9%
8:10 PM·—67° · 8.2mph
No Play
Money
Market
Model
LAAAngels
J. Soriano (R)2.72 ERA
+189
34.5%
46.5%
LADDodgers
E. Sheehan (R)4.50 ERA
-210
65.5%
53.5%
8:10 PM·—76° · 5.9mph
No Play
Money
Market
Model
WSHNationals
C. Cavalli (R)3.62 ERA
+114
45.3%
54.4%
ARIDiamondbacks
M. Soroka (R)3.49 ERA
-125
54.7%
45.6%
7:15 PM·—72° · 0mph
No Play
Money
Market
Model
BALOrioles
S. Baz (R)4.29 ERA
+124
44.1%
52.2%
TORJays
K. Gausman (R)3.36 ERA
-132
55.9%
47.8%
5:37 PM·—72° · 0mph
No Play
Money
Market
Model
KCRoyals
N. Cameron (L)4.22 ERA
-108
50.5%
58.6%
MINTwins
C. Prielipp (L)5.26 ERA
-102
49.5%
41.4%
6:10 PM·—76° · 7.6mph
No Play
Money
Market
Model
TBRays
G. Jax (R)4.76 ERA
-106
50.6%
47.5%
MIAMarlins
S. Alcantara (R)4.59 ERA
-102
49.4%
52.5%
5:40 PM·—72° · 0mph
No Play
Money
Market
Model
BOSSox
R. Suarez (L)3.38 ERA
+134
41.7%
43.5%
NYYYankees
C. Schlittler (R)3.80 ERA
-145
58.3%
56.5%
5:35 PM·—77° · 8.4mph
No Play
Money
Market
Model
SEAMariners
L. Castillo (R)5.53 ERA
+100
49.5%
51.0%
DETTigers
J. Flaherty (R)5.31 ERA
-106
50.5%
49.0%
5:40 PM·—83° · 11.6mph
No Play
Money
Market
Model
CLEGuardians
J. Cantillo (L)3.92 ERA
+128
43.1%
41.7%
TEXRangers
J. deGrom (R)3.48 ERA
-140
56.9%
58.3%
6:35 PM·—72° · 0mph
No Play
Money
Market
Model
CINReds
R. Lowder (R)5.40 ERA
+122
44.0%
45.0%
STLCardinals
M. McGreevy (R)2.98 ERA
-135
56.0%
55.0%
6:15 PM·—83° · 9mph
No Play
Money
Market
Model
SFGiants
T. McDonald (R)4.50 ERA
+111
46.5%
46.7%
CHCCubs
J. Taillon (R)5.13 ERA
-121
53.5%
53.3%
12:30 AM·—80° · 12.9mph
No Play
Money
Market
Model
CWSSox
T. Gilbert (L)7.00 ERA
+149
39.1%
—
PHIPhillies
A. Nola (R)5.55 ERA
-165
60.9%
—
5:35 PM·—79° · 6.5mph
No Play